President William Ruto has an 85 percent chance of winning the 2027 presidential election, according to digital strategist CPT Kibet. The strategist expressed strong confidence in Ruto’s re-election prospects through a detailed statement shared on his X (formerly Twitter) account, sparking widespread reactions from Kenyans online.
In his post, CPT Kibet wrote, “Dr William Samoei Ruto has an 85% chance of getting a second term. The noises you see are just 15%.” The strategist emphasized that despite political tensions and criticisms facing the Kenya Kwanza government, the President’s support base remains strong and organized ahead of the 2027 polls.
Kibet further noted that many political observers underestimate Ruto’s grassroots mobilization power and the influence of the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) across Kenya’s counties. He added, “The chances of Dr William Samoei Ruto clinching his second term as President of this country stand at above 85%. Never make a mistake and assume that he will lose easily. Don’t be deluded.”
The statement has since gained traction online, with supporters of the ruling coalition echoing similar sentiments, arguing that President Ruto’s political machinery is already in motion. Some Kenyans praised Kibet’s analysis, describing it as a realistic reflection of the current political landscape, while others dismissed it as propaganda meant to boost Ruto’s public image.
Political analysts suggest that the President’s chances will heavily depend on the performance of his administration, especially in managing the economy, reducing the cost of living, and addressing unemployment among the youth. According to observers, if Ruto successfully implements his Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda (BETA), it could solidify his re-election prospects in 2027.
Meanwhile, opposition leaders have been consolidating efforts to counter Ruto’s growing influence. There are reports of renewed talks among Azimio la Umoja coalition members to field a unified candidate who can challenge the President’s dominance. However, divisions within the opposition may play to Ruto’s advantage if left unresolved.
Despite mixed opinions, Kibet’s remarks have reignited national conversations about Kenya’s political future. His confident tone reflects a broader sentiment among Ruto’s supporters who believe the President’s strategic alliances, particularly in Mount Kenya, Rift Valley, and Western Kenya, will secure him a second term.
As the 2027 general election draws closer, the debate over Ruto’s popularity and performance is expected to intensify both online and on the ground. For now, CPT Kibet’s bold prediction continues to fuel discussions about whether President William Ruto’s 85% chance of re-election is a political reality—or just digital optimism.
